Commanders vs. Buccaneers final score prediction for NFL Wild Card Round (back to Bucs to win Sunday night)

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Washington Commanders played each other on the opening Sunday of the NFL season and will now meet in a rematch on wild card weekend.

The Buccaneers posted a 37-20 victory in Week 1, but now Jayden Daniels will come into this game as a more experienced quarterback, looking to earn his first postseason start.

Let’s dive into the latest game odds and then I’ll predict the final outcome.

Via fees DraftKings Sports Betting

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money line

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The buccaneers opened as a 3-point favorite and the line has remained stable throughout the week. The total has dropped one point, from 51.5 to 50.5.

In this week’s edition of “Road to Super Bowl 59“, I broke down why I’m making the field goal with the Buccaneers:

Despite delivering some electrifying moments this NFL season, the Commanders’ underlying numbers don’t look promising. They enter the playoffs 13th in the NFL in net yards per play at +0.3, while ranking 15th in EPA per play and 19th in opponent EPA per play since Week 10.

Meanwhile, the Buccaneers have quietly become one of the league’s elite teams. They are now fifth in net yards per play (+0.7), along with fourth in EPA per play and seventh in opponent EPA per play since Week 10.

Most importantly, the Buccaneers should have a lot of success running the ball. Since committing to Bucky Irving as their primary running back, their running game has flourished. They now face a Commanders defense that allows 4.8 yards per carry, fifth most in the NFL.

Finally, the Commanders have struggled on the road this season, ranking 27th in net yards per play on the road at -0.6. A lot of things are pointing in the Bucs’ favor on Sunday night.

If you want to see an offensive shootout, this may be the game for you. Both teams have quarterbacks who can throw the ball down the field and score points quickly. Furthermore, the Commanders’ defense leaves a lot to be desired.

Final result prediction: Comandantes 27, Buccaneers 32

Odds are updated periodically and are subject to change.

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You can consult all Iain’s bets here!